China isn't Russia... free eBooks!

Jul 01, 2024

The Ghost of Henry Kissinger speaks…
Contents: Essays, Audio, Video, free eBooks!

As I reflect on the complexities of geopolitics, I am reminded of the importance of adopting a nuanced and pragmatic approach to international relations. The current US strategy to Ukraine has the effect of pushing China closer into an alliance with Russia. That is, in my opinion, a misguided and short-sighted approach that offers Russia a fleeting hope of victory in its ongoing conflict. Instead, I firmly believe that the United States should focus on encouraging China to decisively undermine Russia, thereby creating a more balanced and stable global landscape.

China and Russia, two of the world's most prominent nations, offer a compelling study in contrasts. Despite both being major powers with expansive territories and long histories, their cultural landscapes differ significantly. These differences manifest in various facets of their societies, including productivity, social behaviors, and overarching cultural values. To comprehend these distinctions, it is essential to understand the historical, sociopolitical, and cultural frameworks that shape each nation.

Chinese Cultural Characteristics: Optimism, Hard Work, Productivity, and Family

China’s culture is deeply imprinted with Confucianism. To restore peace to China after civil wars, Confucius emphasized harmony, respect for authority (elders and nobles), hard work, and the importance of family, education, and learning. These values have a profound influence on Chinese society, driving its citizens toward collective progress and personal development and explain why the East Asian tigers are so productive and peaceful. We would do well to learn from their examples and ask ourselves why they are so successful, perhaps there are lessons we can learn here.

Chinese Cultural Values:

1. Optimism and Hard Work:

- History: The Chinese ethos of hard work can be traced back to the agrarian roots of the society, where agriculture demanded relentless labor and community cooperation. Confucian teachings further solidified the belief that diligence leads to prosperity and social harmony. It is also found in other East Asian cultures like Japan, Korea, Vietnam inter alia.

- Modern Implications: This cultural inclination towards hard work is evident in China's economic miracle over the past few decades. From the rise of Shenzhen as a tech hub to the manufacturing prowess of cities like Guangzhou, the dedication to productivity and innovation is palpable. The “996” work culture (9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week) prevalent in many Chinese tech companies, though controversial, underscores this relentless drive.

2. Productivity:

- Economic Growth: China’s productivity is not just a function of its large population but also of its efficient labor force. The ability to rapidly scale production, adapt to new technologies, and innovate has positioned China as the world's factory. For instance, Shenzhen transformed from a fishing village to a bustling metropolis within a few decades, driven by the collective ambition and industrious spirit of its people.

- Education and Innovation: The emphasis on education, particularly in STEM fields, fuels China's productive capabilities. Chinese students consistently excel in international assessments, and the country is home to some of the world's leading universities and research institutions. The rapid advancements in areas like artificial intelligence and biotechnology highlight the nation's commitment to staying at the forefront of global innovation.

3. Family and Social Structure:

- Confucian Influence: The centrality of family in Chinese culture cannot be overstated. Confucianism places significant emphasis on filial piety and family harmony. This respect for familial relationships extends into business practices, where family-run enterprises are common, and business partnerships often resemble extended family networks.

- Social Stability: The focus on family contributes to social stability. The strong support systems within families provide a safety net that mitigates the impact of economic and social upheavals. This cultural trait has helped maintain societal cohesion even as China undergoes rapid modernization and urbanization.

Russian Cultural Characteristics: Alcoholism, Violence, and Criminality

In contrast to China, Russia’s cultural identity is marked by a different set of historical and social dynamics. While Russia has made significant contributions to art, literature, and science, it also grapples with issues of pervasive and chronic alcoholism and violence, including domestic violence, and criminality, which have deeply affected Russian society. Their “devil may care” attitude condemns many Russians to an early avoidable grave.

1. Alcoholism:

- Historical Context: Alcohol consumption has been a part of Russian culture for centuries. Vodka, in particular, is embedded in the national identity. This is partly because vodka sales during Tsardom was historically a state monopoly and great source of revenue as well as a method of keeping serfs powerless. Historical events, such as the state monopoly on vodka sales during the Tsarist era, have contributed to the pervasive alcohol culture.

- Social Impact: The consequences of widespread alcoholism in Russia are severe. It has led to significant public health issues, reduced life expectancy, and increased mortality rates. Alcohol abuse is often linked to social problems such as domestic violence, wife-beating, child abuse, suicide, workplace absenteeism, and decreased productivity. Despite government efforts to curb excessive drinking through regulations and public health campaigns, the challenge remains daunting.

2. Violence and Criminality:

- Post-Soviet Transition: The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 ushered in a period of even greater economic instability and social upheaval. The transition from a planned economy to a market economy was chaotic, leading to widespread poverty and unemployment. This environment fostered the rise of organized crime and corruption.

- Cultural Attitudes: The normalization of violence and criminal behavior in Russian society can be partially attributed to the harsh realities of post-Soviet life. The proliferation of gangster culture in the 1990s, depicted in popular media and reinforced by real-life figures, has left a lasting impact.

- State and Society: The intertwining of criminal elements with state structures further complicates efforts to combat violence and corruption. Instances of political violence, extrajudicial actions, and the use of security services to suppress dissent reflect a broader culture of coercion and fear.

Comparative Analysis

The stark contrast between Chinese and Russian cultural characteristics can be further illustrated through specific examples and scenarios.

1. Economic Development:

- China: The rapid urbanization and economic development in China are driven by the collective ambition to improve living standards. The government's focus on infrastructure development, technological advancement, and international trade has been met with an enthusiastic and hardworking populace ready to seize opportunities.

- Russia: In Russia, economic development has been hampered by systemic corruption and inefficiency. While the country possesses vast natural resources, many of them lie idle and none of the benefits have reached outside powerful oligarchs and their immediate families. The oligarchic structures that emerged in the post-Soviet era have led to significant wealth disparities and hindered broad-based economic progress.

2. Social Stability:

- China: The emphasis on family and community in Chinese culture contributes to a stable and cohesive society. Social harmony is a key value, and collective well-being is often prioritized over individualism. This has facilitated the implementation of large-scale social and economic policies. Horrible events that are perfectly normal in contemporary Russia, everyday occurrences, would be unthinkable in contemporary China.

- Russia: Social stability in Russia is far more tenuous, affected by high levels of narcotics abuse and violence. The legacy of dictatorship and the presence of powerful criminal networks undermine social cohesion. The population's trust in institutions is low, which complicates governance and social order.

3. International Perception and Influence:

- China: China's image on the global stage is that of a rising power driven by economic might and innovation. Its cultural diplomacy, through initiatives like the Confucius Institutes, seeks to project a positive image of Chinese culture centered on harmony, progress, and cooperation.

- Russia: Russia's international perception is often colored by its geopolitical aggressiveness, reflecting its domestic dysfunction, and association with corruption and violence. Contemporary Russia is marred by many internal challenges and the regime seeks to distract the people by focusing attention on foreigners as the supposed source of their ills, shattered dreams, and broken hopes, to fuel unrealistic and violent confrontational foreign policies.

Conclusion

Understanding the deep cultural differences between China and Russia provides valuable insights into their respective paths of development and societal dynamics and how we ought react to their policy proposals. China’s culture of optimism, hard work, productivity, and strong family values stands in stark contrast to Russia’s struggles with alcoholism, violence, and criminality. These cultural characteristics shape not only their domestic policies and social structures but also their international roles and relationships. Recognizing and appreciating these differences is crucial for engaging with each nation on its terms and fostering mutual understanding in an increasingly interconnected world.

The Case for Differentiated Foreign Policies: Sanctions on Russia, Cooperation with China

Different beliefs lead to different actions resulting in different outcomes.

The distinct cultural, economic, and political behaviors of nations dictate the most effective and just policies. When comparing Russia and China, it becomes clear that a differentiated approach is warranted. Over the past four decades, China has emerged as a global powerhouse driven by productivity and economic development, refraining from engaging in war, proxy conflicts, or state terrorism. In stark contrast, Russia's trajectory has been marred by lawlessness, violence, and criminality and violent foreign and domestic policies whether in Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, Ukraine, and Africa. Consequently, the international community should impose severe sanctions against Russia while seeking conciliation and cooperation with China to convince China to help disempower its dysfunctional northern neighbor.

Chinese Restraint and Productivity

China’s recent history is marked by a remarkable transformation, characterized by economic growth, technological advancement, and a commitment to stability.

1. Economic Miracle:

- Historical Context: Since the late 1970s, China has undergone an economic revolution. The introduction of market reforms under Deng Xiaoping initiated a period of rapid industrialization and modernization. China's GDP growth has averaged around 9-10% annually for much of the past four decades, lifting hundreds of millions out of poverty and establishing China as the world's second-largest economy.

- Productivity: China’s emphasis on productivity is evident in its manufacturing sector, which has become the backbone of the global supply chain. Cities like Shenzhen exemplify this transformation, evolving from small fishing villages into sprawling metropolises and technology hubs. The Chinese workforce's dedication and industriousness are key factors behind these successes.

2. Peaceful Global Role:

- Refraining from Conflict: Unlike Russia, China has largely abstained from engaging in wars or supporting proxy conflicts. Its focus has been on economic expansion and development, rather than military adventurism. This restraint has contributed to regional stability and allowed China to concentrate on internal development and international trade.

- Diplomatic Engagement: China has actively participated in international organizations and pursued diplomatic avenues to resolve conflicts. Its involvement in the United Nations and other multilateral institutions underscores its commitment to global stability and cooperation. The Belt and Road Initiative, despite its controversies, is a testament to China’s strategy of economic diplomacy over military confrontation.

Russian Lawlessness, Violence, and Criminality

In contrast, Russia’s post-Soviet era has been characterized by instability, corruption, and a propensity for violence, both domestically and internationally.

1. Alcoholism and Public Health:

- Societal Impact: Alcoholism in Russia is a pervasive issue, with profound implications for public health and social stability. High rates of alcohol consumption contribute to a range of health problems, from liver disease to heart conditions, and significantly reduce life expectancy. The societal costs are immense, with increased healthcare burdens and lost productivity.

- Government Response: Efforts to curb alcoholism have had limited success. Policies such as increased taxes on alcohol and public awareness campaigns have been implemented sporadically, but deep-rooted cultural attitudes and economic hardships continue to fuel high consumption rates.

2. Violence and Crime:

- Domestic Issues: Russia’s internal stability is compromised by widespread violence and criminality. The chaotic transition from a Soviet state to a market economy in the 1990s led to the rise of powerful criminal organizations. These groups exert significant influence over various sectors, from politics to business, often through violent means.

- International Malfeasance: Russia's foreign policy is marked by aggression, intervention, obstructionism, and provactions. Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, Ukraine, the list of Russian war crimes is long. These wars exemplify Russia’s willingness to use military force to achieve its objectives with no regard to civilian casualties or the law of war. Additionally, state-sponsored cyber-attacks and election interference further tarnish Russia’s international reputation.

Specific Examples of Divergent Paths

1. Economic Development:

- China: The transformation of Shenzhen into a global tech hub showcases China’s focus on productivity and innovation. The city is home to major technology companies like Huawei and Tencent, symbolizing China's commitment to becoming a leader in high-tech industries.

- Russia: In contrast, Russia’s economy remains heavily reliant on natural resources, particularly oil and gas. The lack of diversification and persistent corruption hinder sustainable economic growth. The Yukos case, where the state dismantled a major private oil company and imprisoned its CEO, exemplifies the precarious business environment. Outside of Moscow and Petersburg, Russia stagnates and rots.

2. Social Stability:

- China: Social stability in China is maintained through a combination of economic growth and cultural cohesion. The government’s focus on improving living standards and reducing poverty has garnered broad public support. Educational and infrastructural advancements further solidify this stability.

- Russia: Social stability in Russia is fragile, threatened by widespread alcoholism and crime. The 2019 protests against pension reforms and economic stagnation reflect deep public discontent. Furthermore, the intertwining of organized crime with political structures exacerbates societal issues.

3. International Conduct:

- China: China’s Belt and Road Initiative, while controversial, represents a strategy of economic engagement rather than military intervention. By investing in infrastructure projects across Asia, Africa, and Europe, China seeks to build long-term economic partnerships.

- Russia: Russia’s aggressive actions in Ukraine and its support for the Assad regime in Syria demonstrate a preference for military solutions over diplomatic ones. The poisoning of political dissidents and opposition figures, such as the case of Alexei Navalny, highlights the extent of state-sponsored violence and repression.

Conclusion

It is imperative to adopt foreign policies that reflect the distinct behaviors and characteristics of nations. China’s path of economic productivity, peaceful engagement, and social stability contrasts sharply with Russia’s trajectory of alcoholism, violence, criminality and war. Thus, while severe sanctions are justified and necessary to counter Russia’s destabilizing actions, a policy of conciliation and cooperation with China is more appropriate. Engaging China through diplomatic and economic channels can foster mutual benefits and global stability, while resolute opposition to Russia’s lawlessness upholds international norms and security. Recognizing and responding to these differences is crucial for crafting effective and just foreign policies in the modern world.

To achieve this, it is essential to understand the historical and cultural dynamics at play between China and Russia. The Amur territory, which has long been a point of contention between the two nations, presents a unique opportunity for China to assert its dominance and reclaim its rightful place in the region. By doing so, China would not only be strengthening its own position but also sending a clear message to Russia that its aggressive expansionism will not be tolerated.

Furthermore, China's influence over Mongolia, North Korea, and possibly even Kazakhstan or Kyrgyzstan will increase as Russian power wanes thanks to Russians own self-destructive actions and attitudes. These countries, which have historically been within China's sphere of influence, offer a significant opportunity for China to expand its economic and political reach. By encouraging China to replace Russian influence in these regions the United States can create a more stable and prosperous region, while also countering Russia's influence.

My views on this matter are informed by my deep understanding of the languages and cultures of both China and Russia. As someone who is fluent in both Mandarin and Russian, I am acutely aware of the nuances and complexities of these nations' histories, politics, and societies. This understanding has led me to conclude that a more effective US strategy would be to exploit the deep-seated animosities between Russians and Chinese, rather than relying solely on direct confrontation.

The provision of machine tools by China to Russia, for example, is cited as evidence of their growing alliance. However, I believe this is a misguided interpretation. Russia's depletion of manpower, which has forced them to rely on literal teenagers to operate these machines, is a clear indication of their weakness. Rather than viewing China's actions as a threat, we should see them as an opportunity to drive a wedge between the two nations.

This approach requires a deep understanding of the historical and cultural context of the region, as well as a willingness to think outside the box and challenge conventional wisdom.

As someone critical of the U.S. foreign policy establishment's repeated blunders in the Middle East, I am keenly aware of the importance of adopting a more nuanced and pragmatic approach to international relations. The conflicts in the Middle East have been costly and credibility-damaging, and it is essential that we learn from these mistakes and adopt a more effective strategy in our dealings with China and Russia.

In conclusion, I firmly believe that the United States should focus on encouraging China to decisively undermine Russia, rather than pushing them into an alliance. By doing so, we can create a more balanced and stable global landscape, while also countering Russia's influence and promoting peace and prosperity in the region. This approach requires a deep understanding of the complexities of geopolitics, as well as a willingness to think outside the box and challenge conventional wisdom. As someone who has spent a lifetime studying and engaging with the languages and cultures of China and Russia, I am confident that this approach is the key to a more effective and sustainable foreign policy.