Critical Update: Russian Bank Panic, Poisoned Public Water and
vicious rumours rage through "Russia". Many are true!
My Predictions Come True. Get used to it. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-68457937 Someone is lying and it's not me!
CONGA LINE GETS LOOOOONG
More past predictions proven fulfilled.
What was I saying about laying traps for the Russians?
fubar=fucked up beyond all recognition.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/28936
Remember when I said I wanted to wash down my airplanes dinner with a few barrels of oil?
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/03/3/7444754/
Factories, too. video-v-ekaterinburge-proizoshel-vzryv-na-elektricheskoy-podstancii-obespechivayushchey-energiey-voennye-zavody
I am workin on a Looong TRAINING programme... https://63.ru/text/incidents/2024/03/04/73294199/ someone blew up a railroad bridge in Russia. Gosh, I wonder why?
I might be APT to tell you who did that nasty cyberattack on RU but first let's make sure fancy bear is literally dead. https://24tv.ua/ru/kakoj-segodnja-den-vojny-poslednie-novosti-za-4-marta-2024-goda_n25069294
15 Russian Banks Predicted to disappear in 2024. https://ura.news/news/1052739581 Sanctions work. Why, it's almost as if no one trusts Russian financial services! I wonder why? Gosh, it would be absolutely terrible if someone provoked bank runs, bank panics, and encouraged Russians to not use banks at all seeing as they will just disappear anyway including their accounts.
Reminder: SOMEONE is starting ugly evil rumours that an angry oligarch is POISONING THE WATER IN RUSSIA WITH DEADLY DRUGS AND RADIATION!
"Rack 'em."
Rebellions in “Russia”. Get used to that. And then one day Putin will be no more, and “Russia” will be reduced to Muscovy.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/03/3/7444731/
Ingushstan:
https://www.interfax.ru/russia/948761
https://meduza.io/news/2024/03/03/v-ingushskom-karabulake-vveli-rezhim-kto-vlasti-soobschayut-ob-ubiystve-shesti-boevikov
Someone doesn't want to be Muscovite scum's cannon fodder, huh! Ingushtan, Buryatia, then of course Yakutia and a couple dozen other "Russian" republics will rebel and gain independence. What else have I been right about? (Hey! That query cost at least 1k tokens!)
GERMANY
CHINA
3 Governance
The security dilemma
The security dilemma: states' efforts to enhance their security can inadvertently lead to increased insecurity and conflict, paradoxically. This secu3rity dilemma arises from the anarchic nature of the international system, where there is no overarching final authority beyond states to enforce rules among states or resolve disputes between states. As a result, states must rely on their own capabilities to ensure their security, often leading to behaviors that can be perceived as threatening by other states. This leads a state (A) to build arms, to deter other states, which leads other states (B, C, D) to respond by building more arms to deter the other sate (A).
Understanding the Security Dilemma
At the core of the security dilemma is the lack of trust among states. In a self-help system where each state prioritizes its own security above all else, actions taken by one state to increase its security can be misinterpreted by others as aggressive or threatening. For example, a state's decision to build up its military capabilities may be seen as a potential threat by neighboring states, prompting them to respond by enhancing their own military strength in a preemptive measure.
Escalation and Arms Races
One of the key consequences of the security dilemma is the tendency towards escalation and arms races. As states perceive each other's actions through a lens of suspicion and uncertainty, they often feel compelled to match or surpass the military capabilities of their rivals to ensure their own security. This dynamic can lead to a cycle of action and reaction, where each state's defensive measures are interpreted as offensive moves by others, fueling further mistrust and competition.
Historical Examples
Historical examples abound that illustrate the impact of the security dilemma on international relations. One notable case is the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. The development of nuclear weapons by both superpowers in an attempt to deter each other from aggression ultimately led to arms races despite SALT and START treaties.
Another example is the pre-World War I arms race among European powers. The build-up of military capabilities by countries such as Germany, France, and Britain was driven by concerns about maintaining their security vis-à-vis their rivals. However, these actions inadvertently heightened tensions and contributed to the outbreak of World War I.
HOW STATES CAN MITIGATE THE SECURITY DILEMMA
Mitigating the Security Dilemma: Strategies for Peace
The security dilemma poses a significant challenge to states seeking to ensure their security without inadvertently escalating tensions and conflict. Although the security dilemma is a persistent feature of the anarchic international system, there are several strategies that states can employ to mitigate its effects and reduce the risk of war.
1. Confidence-Building Measures
One effective way to address the security dilemma is through confidence-building measures that aim to increase transparency and communication between states. By engaging in dialogue, sharing information about military capabilities, and conducting joint exercises, states can build trust and reduce misperceptions that often fuel insecurity and competition.
2. Arms Control and Disarmament
Another strategy is arms control and disarmament agreements that seek to limit the proliferation of weapons and reduce the likelihood of an arms race. By committing to mutual reductions in military capabilities, states can signal their intentions for peaceful coexistence and demonstrate a willingness to prioritize diplomacy over confrontation. Unfortunately, arms control treaties and treaties of non-aggression have a historic record of failing to prevent wars.
3. Alliances and Collective Security
Forming alliances and participating in collective security arrangements also helps mitigate the security dilemma by providing states with a sense of security through cooperation with like-minded partners. By pooling resources, sharing intelligence, and committing to mutual defense, states can deter potential aggressors and enhance their own security without resorting to unilateral actions that may provoke others. Collective security has been used effectively to avoid wars.
4. Diplomacy and Conflict Resolution
Effective diplomacy and conflict resolution mechanisms play a crucial role in mitigating the security dilemma by providing channels for peaceful negotiation and dispute resolution. By engaging in dialogue, mediation, and arbitration, states can address their security concerns without resorting to military force, thereby reducing the risk of escalation and conflict.
5. International Institutions
Engagement with international institutions such as the United Nations, regional organizations, and multilateral forums can also help mitigate the security dilemma by providing platforms for dialogue, cooperation, and conflict prevention. By adhering to international norms, rules, and agreements, states can signal their commitment to peaceful resolution of disputes and collective security.
Conclusion
In conclusion, although the security dilemma presents a complex challenge in international relations, there are concrete steps that states can take to mitigate its effects and avoid wars. By embracing confidence-building measures, arms control initiatives, alliances, diplomacy, and engagement with international institutions, states can work towards fostering a more secure and stable international environment based on cooperation, trust, and mutual respect. Through these proactive strategies, states can navigate the complexities of the security dilemma and build a foundation for lasting peace and prosperity on the global stage.
People’s Consultative Conference (2 Sessions)
The Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) is an advisory body that, along with the National People's Congress (NPC), forms the "Two Sessions" in China. The CPPCC is more representative of a broader range of people, including individuals from both inside and outside the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). It consists of a National Committee and regional committees, with the National Committee typically holding a yearly meeting concurrently with the NPC session. The CPPCC's main functions are political consultation, democratic supervision, and participation in state affairs deliberation. It engages in meetings, proposals, and various forms of
Most Western analysts dismiss the people's consultative conference as a mere rubber stamp with no role in policy formation or implementation. Their view is mistaken. The consultative conference enables the CCP to consider and implement views of Chinese people who are not in the CCP. You have to take the other thug's mouthshitting serious because before he stabs you he is really likely to mouthshit, and you can maybe talk him out of stab stab with talk talk. Anyway, no government can form and implement laws without some form of popular input into policy formation and output on policy implementation. Otherwise the government faces riots, rebellions, terrorism. A smart move by actual pro-democracy forces would be to boost, not undercut the people's consultative conference and invent concepts like 帝国有天命,共和国有老百姓. When you can express your ideas in the other thugs langauge the results can be you actually get what you want as opposed to barbecue sauce everywhere.
Oh. That's NOT barbecue sauce. Shit. I am not above putting ideas into others heads to avoid the “bbq”.
As Predicted: Globalization Continues, Decoupling Downgraded to Derisking.
Remember when Peter Zeihan claimed globalization was over, would end, and he wants a ham and cheeze sandwich at the next meeting of your local chamber of commerce where you can meet him in person for a photo op?
Let's not make the Chinese whine about being encircled by the hostile forces of capitalism hm? Don't rub it in, they do have other options but are indeed smartly doing what is in your mutual interest. Economic prosperity in exchange for military containment and no one dies.
So shut up, Peter. You are wrong. Vampire Putin's smash and grab is a speed bump which ends with him dead and even more globalization: because people want wealth more than we hate and fear each other and when you just make shit up about political violence you can't be surprised when it blows up in your own face...
NORTH KOREA
LLM AI
RELIGION
FOUR is the most unlucky number in Chinese. For it means "death" as it rhymes therewith. 死
Welcome to Magic Pearl. We see in the dark.
Don't think I wouldn't do it.
I totally would.
IT WOULD MAKE MOTHER PROUD!
pip install secretpy aes-cipher PyCryptodome
...
sudo make install