CRYPTOGRAPHY, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, WAR
Making sure some other fella knows your mail really is from you.
Reading the other guy's mail is a much tougher task than making sure the other guy can't read your mail. Making sure they know you is just a basic hash function, trivial, just stamp a QR code and hash on each frame of the video.
NAVALNY
革命不是请客吃饭...
Navalniy is dead. Yet another corpse on the Putin pile. Lame limp idiots who think we can or should "negotiate" with Putin can fuck right off and join club Chamberlain. Ukraine will win.
"Our Roman Republic, BY DEFENDING OUR ALLIES, has got possession of the world." Marcus Tullius Caesar.
The House of Representatives needs to figure out pronto, Trump is a traitor, a rapey pervert, a fraudster, a liar. There will be trials. The criminals will be held to account, including for crimes such as treason (giving aid and comfort to the enemy in time of war), sedition (lower Bar!), espionage and financial crimes and misdemeanors. Do you need legal citations? Also: law clerk.
At the very start of Putin's war in Ukraine I predicted Putin would lose, rightly, because of so many miscalculations and a fundamentally repulsive governance style with a frankly involuted, backward ideology, great Russian orthodox Christian nationalism as a veneer for a mafia state, corruption-as-governance is Putin and Russia is a mafia state. Thus he shall lose.
The murder of Navalny and repeated judicial judgments against Trump now make it much clearer to those who do not speak Russian fluently, never lived or taught in Russia, and did not study Russian military science for 30 years. Ukraine will win, Putin is doomed.
Because of this I shall gradually shift the topics here treated to include broader issues and the post-war world order, including the plans for Ukrainian reconstruction and lustration. These topics had been too early to be plausibly treated. Expect posts to include my thoughts about artificial intelligence and computer programming going forward. I think the war might end in 18 months but it could be 3, 5, or even 10 years.
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." - Winston Churchill
US-strikes-on-Houthis-will-stop-when-Red-Sea-attacks-end
https://defence-blog.com/russia-confirms-loss-of-su-35-fighter-jet/
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1867872/vladimir-putin-russia-ukraine-ai-drones-avdiivka
I see idiot medvedev is being a stupid puppet as usual. 磕头.你快磕头!
AS PREDICTED HERE
‘We don’t sell weapons to conflict zones’: China makes pledge to Ukraine in Munich
https://www.newsweek.com/china-ukraine-weapons-russia-war-wang-yi-munich-1871036
so much for no limits no matter what. no limits simply mean China could do anything, not that China would do everything
我有建议,好吧!
I don't make threats.
I do make Promises.
https://kyivindependent.com/media-explosions-fire-reported-in-russian-occupied-makiivka/ Why, yes, I will have a few more barrels of burning oil to wash down those Russian planes I ate!
OpenAI recruiting Red Teamers to try to break Sora.
Combat applications in Ukraine.
Pay: Zero.
Risk: Also Zero.
https://openai.com/sora
Hit it.
METHODS OF WAR
Basically: we must be hard and smart, not necessarily shrewd, but certainly not blinded by lust, whether for power, or money, or the pretty princess (even though she really is that). We must be rational and consequent because the penalty for error in war is death.
CHINESE ECONOMY
The best way to look at it is from the party perspective and the people's perspective.
PARTY PERSPECTIVE
The CCP obviously wants to reduce pollution. This is to improve the duration and quality of life of ordinary Chinese people primarily though also for international relations regarding climate change. Anti-pollution can drive a "back to the countryside" perspective amongst business.
The CCP also wants to project an image of China as a utopian society, well-ordered, clean, productive, peaceful, happy, developed, even futuristic.
They are likelier to be able to project that image from the developed coastal cities rather than the developing rural regions.
From the people's perspective: China's population is in fact aging, and there is a 古乡 idea in Chinese culture which even non-Chinese me can see. This will reduce some of the stresses of pollution. Urban pollution tends to be air, rural tends to be groundwaters. However, young people often go to the cities for jobs.
From the taxation and public finance perspective: China is sufficiently wrecktastic that way I dare not wade in because unlike western liberals I know damned well when I am ignorant and to keep my mouth shut and just listen. I do know both those topics and am certain that a combination of special purpose public financing, public/private partnerships, targeted taxation (mostly of products rather than income streams) can enable China to restructure the local finances to attain the CCP's goals. I do not regard the military contention between the West and China as sufficiently fierce as to justify wrecking Chinese finance. That would however feed into the pary's ideology of evil capitalist exploiters, which is why, aside from wealth production, it's not in the Wests interests to wreck Chinese finances. It makes us look bad, polarizes, is extreme and unnecessary.
As we see, the barbaric savage xiongnu north of China are having yet another blood purge. Drunks with knives and not much commercial sense will wind up being pwn3d by China.
However, the danger asshole Putin poses to the party is sparking fears of blood purges in China, whether within the party (unlikely), the masses (such fears are unrealistic but predictable among a minority) or the West, certainly among sectors of the West. Westerners often misread and misapprehend the threats, challenges, and structures of the CCP.
Because Putin poses now a direct threat to the party I predict China will rapidly cut him loose, in other words, as I have been long predicting, China will definitively "throw Putin under the bus". I advise building pre-party fraternal mass organizations in "Russia" among the various oppressed nations subjugated by Russia because I predict revolutions in Russia. These can benefit China and the CCP and can even alleviate stresses between the West and China by showing China is a responsible partner as opposed to a kleptocratic clique of war criminals like that Moscow mafia I am destroying.
THE PEOPLES' PERSPECTIVE
From the perspective of the ordinary Chinese people: Young Chinese people will keep flocking to cities, and elders will return to their roots. However, each of them are looking for safe stable productive places to invest their savings. The tax and financing restructuring I suggest has to take this into account and create tax favored long term investments for them because 1. Chinese people distrust the stock market 2. Investing in large real estate projects has been discredited. I suggest allowing investments into China's sovereign wealth fund. I do not regard expatriation of Chinese capital as a problem facing China. It may be possible to create investment vehicles within the framework of the belt and road initiative but unlike sovereign wealth fund investments such should be presented as risky since they are. Basically a securitization of BRI and SW is what I suggest, whether as shares or bonds.
I do not anticipate wars involving China because of Western deterrence. Deterrence and economism may even encourage China to reduce military spending. Why waste money in the face of over-match? If the real purpose of the Chinese military is to rally national unity, bolster national pride, a "showcase"military is all that is needed. If the realistic tasks of the military are anti-piracy, anti-terrorism, humanitarian relief, humanitarian rescue, a smaller more elite force structure is better than a military trying to fight a conventional war in the face of numerical and technological superiority.
GERMAN CHINESE RELATIONS
China built its impressive export based economy following the German model of export substitution industrialization. This model of economy only can function in a world with free trade and thus is inapt to a new cold war. However, that model generates much greater wealth than would be had with a national self-sufficient economy. Just compare autarchic North Korea to interdependent China. The difference in wealth is mainly due to international trade and investment --or the lack thereof.
China was able to take up so much from Germany in part because Germany and China are both party political states and a rather large chunk of Germany used to be dei Deutsche Demokratische Republik m.a.W. Communists. "China will remain an important economic partner for Germany for years to come, and the profits that German companies make in China will continue to support employment in Germany, cushioning what promises to be a bumpy transition to a green economy. Germany’s social market economy model, in which labor unions play a role in corporate decision making, will likely shield German workers from the extreme disruptions experienced by their manufacturing counterparts in the United States in the early part of the century."
Germany has, since before the last world war, had policies favorable to both Tokyo and Beijing. This isn't because we're still ultra racists who think those chink eyed orientals all alike and incapable of invention. It's also not opportunism. Bismarck actually played a peace broker in every conflict that did not involve German unification, especially in the far east, it's a historical trend which generated good relations with two sometimes opposed countries. Xi Jinping is very likely reprising Bismarck, who was a brilliant politician. It is certain Xi Jinping wants China to be a peace broker, both from the party ideological perspective and from the rational self interest Realpolitik perspective.
Although I expect Berlin will do what Washington wants regarding security I also expect foot-dragging and economic optimization in German policies. Post-war German economic opportunism was intended to rebuild all that which was destroyed and then also to placate voters. The Ukraine war marks the end of German Mundschaft, but NATO and the EU have been the best things to happen with Germany. So, even though I know for a fact Putin's goal was to split Germany and the USA and partner with Germany and France against the USA -- Putin blew it and has already failed. Russia and Putin had no way forward, and the murder of Navalny makes it even more evident. I expect China will be contained and constrained to sensible military policies and that Eurasian economies will grow after the "Russian" Federation collapses. How much mutual economic destruction Washington and Beijing inlict on each other is an open question: China can damage the U.S. economy the USA can still destroy the Chinese economy. No one wants that. Anyway, if Washington is so foolish as to try to hobble the Chinese economy it would quickly discover the French and Germans would not join in on policies of embargo, boycott, and tariffs. None of which will happen anyway, since Trump is now certainly not going to be President again.
All that is needed is for Putin to go out the same window he sent so many other people out of.
"READING TEA LEAVES"
https://news.cgtn.com/news/2024-02-17/Wang-Yi-delivers-speech-at-Munich-Security-Conference-1rgS0kDOBoY/p.html
What this means is: China genuinely has no intention of starting or getting involved in wars. China has committed significant resources to global peacekeeping and also to humanitarian relief, such missions shall continue. China is into peacekeeping, not peacemaking. You may like it or dislike it but at least you know where you stand. Minister Wang Yi's comments are laconic because he knows perfectly well warmongers and terrorists can and would latch onto any of his words for bad purposes.
Chinese culture is fairly different from Western culture, so also are Chinese governance structures. However, it is not like Russia where everything is layered in lies, secrecy, and half truths. You can take them at their word, which is also why Minister Wang Yi used few words.
Good luck!
RELIGION : "I am the way" Jesus 我是道
Dao in Daoism is literally "the way".
Religion is generally speaking the moral justification of the fact of state power. This role of religion appears to be fairly universal. Moreover, religion is the pre-scientific attempt at psychology: Religion helps some people come to terms with life.
Currently, the Chinese government is coming to terms with secularism in state power and Chinese characteristics in the cultural life of the people. We can ask ourselves whether after the murder of Navalny the CCP might be thinking of poisoning Putin, though this is a mighty thin reed to grasp. It's possible they would, but unlikely.
RECURSIVE PROMPTS ARE BEST FOR MOST GPTS.
This is an example of a prompt which is recursive and repetitious and thus very likely to yield an effective response.
Prompt: I never took a course in statistics but played lots of table top miniatures and strategy games requiring at least some knowledge of statistical probability. tell me about the theorems i probably missed out on.
Comment: Recursive functions call themselves. This prompt is recursive because it is about probabilities and uses the concept of probability in a self-referential fashion. It is also recursive in spelling. The GPT I ran it on probably does not parse letter-by-letter, though for a cryptography engine it would (see why this is interesting now?)
INEVERTOOKACOURSEINSTATISTICSBUTPLAYEDLOTSOFTABLETOPMINIATURESANDSTRATEGYGAMESREQUIRINGATLEASTSOMEKNOWLEDGEOFSTATISTICALPROBABILITY.TELLMEABOUTTHETHEOREMSIPROBABLYMISSEDOUTON
a good cryptography engine would extract also these words:
in ever soft able sand so me know ledge out miss
and would iteratively permute the text into other forms e.g. caesar shift+(0....26).
WARGAMING
In the context of tabletop miniatures and strategy games, you may have encountered various theorems and concepts related to probability. Some of the fundamental theorems and concepts in probability that are commonly used in such games include:
1. **Complementary Events**: This theorem states that the sum of the probability of an event and its complement is equal to 1. In gaming, this can be applied to calculate the probability of not achieving a specific outcome.
2. **Addition and Multiplication Theorems**: These theorems are used to calculate the probability of the union or intersection of two or more events. In gaming, they can be applied to assess the combined probability of multiple outcomes or events occurring.
3. **Conditional Probability**: This concept involves calculating the probability of an event given that another event has occurred. In games, this can be used to make strategic decisions based on the current state of the game.
4. **Independence of Events**: Two events are considered independent if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other. This concept is relevant when assessing the likelihood of multiple, unrelated events happening in a game.
These theorems and concepts form the basis of probability theory and are widely applicable in various gaming scenarios, helping players make informed decisions based on the likelihood of different outcomes[5].
Citations:
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Probability_theorems
[2]
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_theory
[4] https://www.cuemath.com/data/probability/
[5] https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/probability-theorems-theorems-and-examples/
Learn Languages
Memorable sentences for emotions in Chinese:
1. Guilt - 内疚 (nèijiù)
Memorable Sentence: 我因为辜负了他的信任而感到内疚。 (Wǒ yīnwèi gūfù le tā de xìnrèn ér gǎndào nèijiù.)
Meaning: I feel guilty for betraying his trust.
2. Shame - 羞耻 (xiūchǐ)
Memorable Sentence: 他的行为让我感到十分羞耻。 (Tā de xíngwéi ràng wǒ gǎndào shífēn xiūchǐ.)
Meaning: His behavior made me feel very ashamed.
3. Envy - 嫉妒 (jídù)
Memorable Sentence: 她嫉妒别人的成功，却不愿意努力去追求自己的梦想。 (Tā jídù biérén de chénggōng, què bù yuànyì nǔlì qù zhuīqiú zìjǐ de mèngxiǎng.)
Meaning: She envies others' success but is not willing to work hard to pursue her own dreams.
4. Jealousy - 妒忌 (dùjì)
Memorable Sentence: 他对她的妒忌使他们的关系变得紧张。 (Tā duì tā de dùjì shǐ tāmen de guānxi biàn de jǐnzhāng.)
Meaning: His jealousy towards her made their relationship tense.
5. Fear - 恐惧 (kǒngjù)
Memorable Sentence: 他对黑暗感到恐惧，所以总是开着灯睡觉。 (Tā duì hēi'àn gǎndào kǒngjù, suǒyǐ zǒngshì kāizhe dēng shuìjiào.)
Meaning: He is afraid of the dark, so he always sleeps with the light on.
+
Some of the most important Japanese particles include:
は (wa) - Marks the sentence topic.
が (ga) - Marks the subject with emphasis and is also used in questions.
の (no) - Indicates possession and is used to connect nouns.
も (mo) - Means "also" or "too" and is used to indicate inclusion.
を (o/wo) - Marks the direct object of a verb.
に (ni) - Indicates time, location, direction, and the indirect object.
で (de) - Marks the location of an action.
へ (e/he) - Indicates the direction of movement.
LANGCHAIN: A WASTE OF TIME (So Far)
does langchain work? I can't even get it to install properly after an entire day of pip, pipx, venv, --break-packages. Is langchain worthless?
Sources
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tarek-dweik-9599a33_langchain-v010-activity-7155509595539451904-2kaY favicon
https://archive.ph/6GqW8 favicon
Answer
LangChain is an open-source framework and developer toolkit that aims to help developers work with large language models (LLMs) such as GPT-3. It is available for Python and JavaScript. However, there are mixed opinions about its usefulness. Some users have expressed concerns about its complexity and the level of abstraction it introduces, especially in comparison to directly using LLMs like GPT-3 from OpenAI. Others have found it useful for tasks such as integrating multiple LLMs and creating flexible language model pipelines. The framework has also faced criticism for its documentation and developer experience, with issues reported on platforms like GitHub. Ultimately, whether LangChain is "worthless" or not depends on the specific use case and the developer's preferences and requirements. The search results provide a range of opinions on LangChain, with some users finding it useful for their needs and others expressing concerns about its complexity and utility. It's important to consider these perspectives and evaluate whether LangChain aligns with your specific requirements and development preferences.
My hypothesis is that langchain is intended for jupyter notebooks and works ok on jupyter notebooks. Or am I wrong?
Sources
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tarek-dweik-9599a33_langchain-v010-activity-7155509595539451904-2kaY favicon
https://github.com/langchain-ai/chat-langchain/issues/100 favicon
View 2 more
Answer
LangChain can be used in Jupyter Notebooks, as evidenced by the availability of resources and documentation specifically tailored to this environment. The LangChain Python modules can be utilized within Jupyter Notebook and Google Colab, which are popular choices for working in the Python environment1
. Additionally, there are examples of Jupyter notebooks being used for various tasks related to LangChain, such as loading and indexing data, creating prompt templates, and executing Zapier tasks with GPT completion via LangChain2
. The LangChain documentation also covers how to load data from a Jupyter notebook into a format suitable for LangChain3
. Therefore, it is accurate to say that LangChain is intended for use in Jupyter Notebooks and can work effectively in this environment.
https://minimaxir.com/2023/07/langchain-problem/
Prompt:
Amazing content today,Erick. It seems like another way to make the idea of privacy obsolete.