There are so very many ways China could (will!) stab Russia。。。 “How do I love thee, let me count the ways” -Shakespeare (free eBooks at the end of the post!)
Probabilistic Heuristics: Sometimes conflicting accounts of what actually happen settle out with time. This is one reason why sometimes the best thing to do is nothing. For examples: very recently Russia is evacuating civilians from near the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. There are at least two possibilities: Russia is claiming or raising alarm over “another Chernobyl” to distract from the fact it is simply retreating from territory it can’t or doesn’t want to defend. This is likelier since the story may discourage a Ukrainian attack during the Russian withdrawal. Alternatively, there is in fact a nuclear disaster. But this is less likely, for if there were then there would be reports of radioactive leaks and there are not, at least so far. We can form hypotheses from known facts based on actors’ intentions and goals as well as from their capabilities. Similarly, recently Prigozhin (Wagner) was claiming to withdraw from Bakhmut. The possibilities there are that this was a lie, intended to lure Ukraine into a premature attack. Alternatively, this was the truth, which would be evidence of growing splits within the horde of rapists robbers thieves and liars mass murders and war criminals who are dying for Ukrainian washing machines, Ukrainian cars, and Ukrainian jewelry. Well, it turns out Prigozhin has been resupplied with munitions and so is not leaving Bakhmut. There may indeed be serious splits among the horde of war criminals. But not yet so serious as we might hope. So piss them off. Goad them into killing each other. That is how war is well fought: take two of your enemies, set them at each others throats, and hope they destroy each other. This is why exactly why the so-called “global war on terror” was really fucking stupid not to mention expensive and ultimately a failure War isn’t nice or good or fine. “革命不是请客吃饭”: You want to be the last one left standing. You are likelier to be that if you are the last one to shoot. I am the last one to shoot in every sense of that phrase: I don’t start wars. I finish them. War is tragic, painful, generally a very bad idea. Exceptionally war is necessary, unavoidable: then it must be fought with vicious savage intensity and utmost rapidity. Ours is the side that hates slavery. Ours is the side that ends wars. Follow me.
Another example of uncertainty: Recently a Russian fascist, Zakhar Prilepin was nearly killed in a car bombing. How badly was he injured? He won’t be going to any dance parties. But I guess his favorite sport must be hockey, since it starts with a face off. Prilepin wanted a purge. Sow the winds? Reap the whirlwind! ) Like Niall Ferguson, Prilepin describes himself as an “imperialist”. Reconsider that moniker.
Deutsche Fassung: Ruhe vor dem Sturm. Warten auf die ukrainische Offensive. [Krieg Kartiert]
Version Francaise: Le calme avant la tempête. En attendant l'offensive ukrainienne.
Russkiy: Затишье перед бурей. В ожидании украинского наступления.
What I am trying to say is: Putin is multifucked.
Guide-to-open-source-intelligence
The Ukrainian-navy-and- the fight for democracy
Ukraine-military-says-all-35-drones-russia-launched-overnight-destroyed
Russian-warships-retreat from Crimea
Friendly reminder: This ends with Putin dead or in the dock for war crimes
Counterfactual Reasoning: did you know? Every strength can be turned into a weakness, and any weakness may also be a strength.
In this video the man says one needs to have the following qualities: resourceful, sociable, self confident, integrity, patriotism, hard working. Now let’s suppose you were his enemy. How would you exploit those organizational weaknesses? I would goad them on patriotism, make them question their patriotism and question the concept of patriotism too! Isn’t it just weak group-thinking? I would encourage their feelings of self confidence I would tell them how wonderful flawless perfect and good they are - in order to lure them into the mistake of over-confidence, hubris. I would figure out if I could turn them into workaholics, wrecking their marriage, while also convincing them they need a break from it all with this very convenient prostitute / drug / alcohol / vice-of-choice. I’m not saying that organization is over-confident and under self-critical. I am saying in individuals those are likely exploitable weaknesses: learn from the Other guy’s mistakes.
They’re generally very religious. I would suggest taking advantage of or defending against naive. The contradiction between “very honest people” “doing very nasty things” [and thus relying on their agents to do the actual dirty work] is only the most obvious vulnerability.
Speaking of very religious! Crazy person, thinks his invisible friend wants him to kill You shot dead. (Fr.) God is great all right, just not like how someone imagined. Tragic but #ygwyfd
Bionic-eye could-restore-vision
UK Intelligence says Russia unlikely to be able to fully protect its railways from sabotage…
Group-threatens-ayatollah-hacks-iranian-foreign-ministry-leaks-sensitive-data
FRANCAIS
guerre-en-ukraine-en-direct-un-bombardement-nocturne-sur-kiev
pour-discrediter-l-ukraine-la-russie-organise-de-faux-rassemblements-en-europe
https://www.20minutes.fr/monde/ukraine/4035948-20230508-guerre-ukraine-direct-apres-promesse-moscou-fournir-plus-munitions-wagner-reste-finalement-bakhmout
lukraine-a-t-elle-realise-lexploit-ultime-face-a-la-russie
Pour Zelensky, la Russie sera vaincue « de la même manière » que le nazisme...
syrie-de-bachar-al-assad-reintegree-dans-la-ligue-arabe
Brussels plans sanctions on Chinese companies aiding Russia’s war machine
Thailand election: The young radicals shaking up politics
More than 1000 trafficking-victims-rescued “the victims were from Hong Kong, Indonesia, China, Vietnam, Nepal, Malaysia, Thailand, Taiwan, Myanmar and the Philippines”
越学,越美!The more you learn, the more beautiful it becomes!
我需要道歉。对不起。
How to not lose a war。。。
If you don’t play stupid games you can’t win stupid prizes. 真对不起
HELP WIN THE WAR ON STUPID. LEARN CHINESE!
学习一门外语能帮助未来。有免费的书!Free Promotional eBooks today till…
You can write your book review of Corporate Law right here!
You can write a book review of Constitutional Law Digital Flash Cards here.
You can review it here oh god, no, No, NO!!!!!!!!
Tetiana’s eBook is Permanently Free.