Roman Yuriyovich Grushevinchuk died at the age of 26 in Lugansk fighting against corruptionnaires and for freedom from invasions and war crimes. Don't send flowers. Instead, send munitions, weapons, and medicine: Because thieves and murderers do not stop unless we make them stop.
As pointed out here:
https://www.state.gov/special-envoy-for-the-horn-of-africa-hammer-travels-to-uganda-and-ethiopia/
Effective diplomacy includes predicting hostile opposing actions and preventing them.
Reminder: France is the USA’s first and oldest ally. It is also an example of the fact ideology does play a key role in accurate description and prediction of international relations, whether among states or including non-state actors.
Predictions:
Unfortunately, I expect Israel to go to war with Hezbollah, though likely in 2 to 4 weeks.
Likewise, I expect Iran not to deescalate any conflicts. Specifically, I expect Iran and Pakistan's conflict to intensify.
https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-iran-air-force-strikes-638f2ee4ccfb1a56d26e8f28f7e91699
Despite Chinese Foreign Minister Mao, Ning's helpful comments I do not expect China to be able to persuade either Iran or Pakistan to pursue peace. This is deadly unfortunate for the normal people living in Iran and Pakistan. War here is bad for Chinese business. Ideology and self-interest will cause China to play a conciliatory pacifying role, but this is one which can only persuade and cannot compel. Sometimes when two people(s) are trying to kill each other all one can do is step back and plead with them to stop. I do not expect China to seek to install a People's Government led by a vanguard communist party anywhere, because they tried to do that for 30 years with death and poverty for themselves and the world's poorest. Unlike the Russian elites the Chinese are clearly capable of learning from their past mistakes and improving their governance, which is why I advocate policies of economic engagement alongside defensive deterrence to contain misplaced Chinese military ambitions.
Unfortunately, despite that, I expect the conflicts with Houthis to intensify.
More or less Iran will wind up ringed by wars. This is their idea of self-defence: Fight proxy wars on their neighbors’ territory. I expect however these proxy wars to fail, and that the conflicts will be pushed closer and closer to Iran itself. Probably at some point Iran itself will suffer from another revolution to oust the crazy violent theocrats. We can rightly ask ourselves what secular and atheist Communist Chinese might think of that.
Russia's goal is to try to drag the USA into conflicts which might cost Biden reelection. The correct response is airstrikes, rockets, and espionage, funding local forces friendly to NATO whether in Ukraine, Pakistan, or Yemen. This policy is called off shore balancing. Britain did exactly that for several centuries: it funded and armed continental forces to fight wars to prevent unification of Europe under any tyranny, whether Spanish, French, or German. Rather than off shore power balancing the U.S. offshore approach seeks to maintain free trade and cross border investment, which is why China can and should support it, or at least not oppose it. The USA is not seeking to set up potential enemies and use them to destroy each other. Instead it is seeking to build a rules based international order with peace and prosperity, which world enabled China to pull itself out of famine and into a moderate prosperity. To continue growing its economy and maintain the CCP in power, I expect China will in practice cooperate rather than conflict with the USA. I expect most U.S.-Chinese conflicts to be marginal and marginalized as theoretical and ideological disputes "academic" rather than to manifest in practice as proxy wars, insurgencies, or state-sponsored terrorism.
They simply have too many common goals, values, and attitudes, economic, and cultural interests to push themselves into the extremes of a new cold war (I fought in the last one). China will be contained militarily so it can keep growing economically and reforming politically.
https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/europa/estland-geheimdienst-professor-spionageverdacht-100.html
THE SUICIDE STRIKES OF EXTREMISTS: PSA
Hey there! Great Satan here! We are here to fuck your shit up. Maybe you should stop resisting? Otherwise you might get to deal with little satan. I hear he is even meaner!
Do not worry, I know you are suicidal. I would prefer you to survive, but hey, if I have to help you into the next world that is what you wanted after all.... 40 virgins!
“RUSSIA”, UKRAINE
All the wars ringing Iran like a dirty anus were caused by Iran and directed by Putin to distract from Ukraine and divide the West.
China isn't falling for it. Putin is like a rat which already at the rat poison: he will thrash around with the tremors of nerve damage flopping about fairly helplessly spewing blood from his mouth and die. Lavrov should succeed him, he is Russia's best chance to avoid total destruction. Even then I do not expect Russia to compromise in Ukraine and instead will be routed from all Ukraine. But if Lavrov succeeds Putin he might be able to keep Muscovy connected with the Islamic parts of the "Russian" Federation. China already will reclaim its territories, Japan will too.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/01/17/europe/russia-riot-police-protest-bashkortostan-intl/index.html When "Russia" falls apart and all the countries Muscovy conquered get their freedom back Bashkortostan, a mongol Buddhist region, will likely be aligned with China. Remember: the regions are the feeders for the meatgrinder. Muscovites are not dying in Ukraine, yet, all the cannon fodder come from the countries Russia conquered and occupied, which is why revolutions are likelier to start there. When I say things like "Liberate Siberia!" "Oppose Russian Imperialism" I am deadly serious, just ask the Ukrainians Muscovy is trying to imperialize.
Seems Nordstream was destroyed by the USA. How unfortunate. There will be fair compensation - after the war is won. Make Königsburg Deutschland again! Speaking of war reparations
https://news.yahoo.com/ukrainian-drones-target-russia-moscow-073800912.html
Friendly reminder:
1 million USA dead thanks to SARSII
Funny thing about the truth. It does not just go away, no matter how many lies anyone tells. More hard truths for fat lazy drug addicts and alcoholics — in other words the average American.
100,000 USA dead last year thanks to fentanyl
Majority of USA people are fat. This will cause in later years heart attacks, strokes, cancers.
Actual fucking patriots should be horrified.
But people who are anti-USA should be thrilled!
When we say things like "decadant imperialists" these are examples. These are examples of why I am an authoritarian, not a liberal. The great majority of people need hard rules and values to live well. "It's not me, it's you."
You can do things as I suggest, then it will go better for you. Or, you can do things otherwise with deleterious results for You: but I still win.
Now, for your own sake, do those things I suggest.
RELIGION
"I have sent this man to test you. And until you cast him down you have failed."