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Trump will try to impose peace, fail, Putin will stab Trump in the back and then it gets real. Now in the “fail” phase.
https://www.axios.com/2025/04/18/trump-russia-ukraine-rant-walking-away
https://www.politico.eu/article/us-ukraine-ceasefire-doable-marco-rubio/
Trump’s Lawless Presidency Hurtles Toward a Reckoning
The defining feature of Donald Trump’s second term isn’t his disregard for legal norms — it’s his active dismantling of them, a brazen experiment in executive overreach that has thrust the nation into uncharted constitutional territory. Defying court orders, ignoring, nullifying laws, are standard operating procedure for. Trump operates as though legal constraints are mere suggestions, setting the stage for a collapse of accountability that could ultimately precipitate his political undoing.
Defiance as Doctrine
Trump’s contempt for judicial authority has become a hallmark of his administration. When the Supreme Court ordered the return of erroneously deported Maryland resident Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia, officials refused, with a White House spokesperson claiming courts lack authority to compel the president — a stance legal experts called “ridiculous”[2]. Federal judges have accused Trump’s team of “thumbing their nose” at rulings, while deportation raids and retaliatory actions against critics proceed unchecked[1][2].
The administration’s weaponization of the Justice Department has further eroded checks on power. U.S. Marshals, who enforce contempt orders, fall under presidential control, creating a circular logic where Trump effectively polices himself[2]. “If Trump wanted to fully not comply, he could direct DOJ not to comply. At that point, you have a full-on constitutional crisis,” warned retired federal judge Nancy Gertner[2].
Legislative Sabotage and Constitutional Vandalism
Trump has moved beyond norm-breaking to outright lawbreaking. He ordered the Justice Department to ignore a TikTok ban mandated by Congress, blocked asylum seekers from legal protections, and attempted to shutter USAID — a move federal judges deemed an unconstitutional overreach[3][5]. His executive order ending birthright citizenship, struck down by four courts as a 14th Amendment violation, epitomizes his willingness to violate foundational legal principles[5][7].
“We’ve moved beyond euphemisms like ‘pushing limits’ — this is systematic lawlessness,” said NYU’s Peter Shane[3]. The administration’s purge of USAID programs, eliminating 83% of humanitarian initiatives, demonstrates how policy goals now trump statutory constraints[5].
The Accountability Trap
Legal scholars agree: Trump’s downfall will likely stem from his miscalculation that power negates consequences. Over two dozen lawsuits challenge his actions, while courts increasingly rebuke his overreach[3][5]. When Judge Leo Sorokin blocked Trump’s birthright citizenship order, he reaffirmed that even presidents must obey constitutional text — a reality Trump seemingly rejects[5][7].
Yet the administration’s greatest vulnerability may be its escalating defiance. By testing judicial patience with contemptuous acts like the Abrego Garcia case, Trump risks triggering unprecedented remedies — from asset freezes to arrest orders for officials[2][7]. While pardons could mitigate criminal contempt, they cannot erase the political fallout of open lawlessness[2].
The Coming Crash
History shows that unchecked power eventually confronts institutional resistance. Trump’s assumption that legal constraints lack teeth ignores the judiciary’s “shaming effect” and Congress’s latent oversight tools[2][7]. As lawsuits mount and public trust erodes, his administration faces a critical juncture: comply with rulings or accelerate into constitutional chaos.
“When shame breaks down, so does democracy,” cautioned Rutgers’ David Noll[2]. For Trump, the very laws he scorns may yet write his political epitaph.
Notes:
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Trump executive orders legality
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https://www.stanfordlawreview.org/online/law-and-order-as-the-foundational-paradox-of-the-trump-presidency/
https://www.stanfordlawreview.org/online/law-and-order-as-the-foundational-paradox-of-the-trump-presidency/