POLITICAL ELECTIONS ARE ABOUT UNIFYING ONE'S OWN BASE AND SPLITTING THE OPPONENTS BASE: KAMELA HARRIS WILL NEITHER UNIFY HER OWN BASE NOR SPLIT HER OPPONENTS BASE
No one likes the bearer of bad tidings, so there is a real tendency to kill the messenger bearing bad news. The bad news is: Harris is unlikely to win the Presidency.
In politics, a candidate's success often hinges on her ability to unify their own base and split their opponent's base. A political base is the core constituent voting groups that consistently support a particular party or candidate. These groups can include demographics such as age, gender, race, and socioeconomic status, as well as ideological factions like liberals, conservatives, and moderates. A strong candidate must be able to rally their own base while simultaneously appealing to undecided voters and siphoning off support from their opponent's base making the opponents base voters neutral or, better, flipping them.
However, Kamala Harris's presidential campaign is facing significant challenges in achieving this crucial goal. Harris has struggled to inspire and unite the Democratic base, and her candidacy may even galvanize Trump's base. Here are key reasons why:
Firstly, Harris's communication style and policy positions have been criticized as being inconsistent or overly cautious, which can be perceived as a lack of clear vision or decisiveness. This perception can hinder her ability to inspire and unite the Democratic base.
Secondly, the Democratic Party is a coalition of various ideological factions, including progressives, moderates, and centrists. Harris has struggled to fully align with any single faction, making it difficult to consolidate support. Her prosecutorial background has been criticized by progressives, while moderates and centrists may find her stances too left-leaning on some issues.
Thirdly, Harris's candidacy could galvanize Trump's base. For many Trump supporters, Harris represents a stark contrast to their preferred political and ideological values, making her an effective rallying point for opposition. Her positions on issues like criminal justice reform, healthcare, and immigration could be used by Republicans to energize their voter base.
To overcome these challenges, Harris's campaign must focus on addressing these perception issues directly. This includes honing a clear, consistent message that resonates with the broader electorate. She must demonstrate strong leadership and policy expertise to counteract claims of ineffectiveness or indecisiveness.
Harris's ability to unify her own base and split her opponent's base will depend on her campaign's ability to address these challenges head-on, craft a unifying message, and effectively counter opposition narratives. If she fails to do so, her chances of winning the presidency will be severely diminished, which is the likeliest outcome. I conclude from this it is another case of the democrats committing
Political Suicide
In an almost predictable fashion, the Democratic Party seems to be orchestrating its own demise, akin to a well-rehearsed act of political seppuku. One cannot help but wonder if they serve as a mere façade, a controlled opposition within the broader oligarchic structure designed to absorb and neutralize any genuine dissent against capitalism. This tactic, if indeed deliberate, would aim to divert potential unrest into channels that are as harmless as they are pointless.
Biden-Harris
When Joe Biden was chosen as the Democratic candidate, the logic was clear. Biden, a seasoned politician with a moderate stance, had a better chance of appealing to the middle ground and winning against Donald than his running mate. Now that Biden has stepped down, Harris will becomes the candidate. The Democrats are very likely setting themselves up for failure in November because Harris will be less effective at capturing the middle ground and undecided voters.
The Demographic Dilemma
One must consider the demographic reality of the United States. Despite greater racial diversity, the majority of Americans remain white. More importantly, the overwhelming majority of wealthy Americans, those who hold substantial sway over political outcomes through their financial power, are also predominantly white. This demographic has historically shown resistance to candidates perceived as progressive or radical, especially those from minority backgrounds.
Kamala Harris, as a woman of color, represents a significant millstone in American politics. However, her symbolic victory will likely come at the cost of electoral viability. Rather than serving as a breakthrough for social progress, Harris's candidacy will inevitably become a rallying point for opposition. The political reality is she will likely energize and unify those opposed to the Democratic platform, leading to a surge in support for Trump or any other Republican candidate by riling up and motivating Trump’s base.
Kamala Harris's tenure as a prosecutor is another critical aspect that cannot be ignored. While her career in law enforcement might have been intended to project an image of strength and capability, it has also been fraught with controversy. Her record has been scrutinized and criticized for various reasons, including allegations of being overly punitive and failing to address systemic injustices within the criminal justice system. In other words she will be less likely to unify the democrats than Biden.
For many voters, particularly progressives and those from marginalized communities, Harris's prosecutorial past is a point of contention. It raises questions about her commitment to genuine reform and casts doubt on her ability to inspire confidence and trust. This perception problem is likely to be exploited by political opponents, further diminishing her chances of securing widespread support.
Identity Politics
Implicit in this analysis is the assumption that American politics is deeply influenced by identity and demographic factors. The logical conclusion here is that a candidate's identity can either serve as an asset or a liability, depending on the broader social and political context. For Harris, her identity as a woman of color is a double-edged sword. While it embodies progress and representation, it also carries the real risk of alienating certain voter blocs.
Moreover, the presumption that the Democratic Party might be acting as a controlled opposition introduces a cynical but plausible interpretation of the Democrats consistent strategic failures. If the party's role is indeed to channel opposition to capitalism into non-threatening avenues, then their recurring missteps in candidate selection and policy prioritization make sense. By presenting candidates who are unlikely to win, the party ensures that any significant challenge to the status quo is effectively neutralized.
A Forlorn Conclusion
In conclusion, the Democrats' current trajectory appears to be the usual: self-sabotage, driven by a combination of demographic miscalculations and controversial candidate records, a lack of cogent killer instinct needed for effective political contention. Unless they Democratscan navigate these treacherous waters with greater acumen, they will likely hand victory to Trump or another Republican candidate.
Did I mention? She is completely inexperienced & overly confident.
But what do I know? I’m just another racist sexist heteronormative white male chauvinist pig
Free previews, Xi Jinping, Word of the Day, and free eBooks follow.
Free Preview:
Falun Gong and Disinformation: Xi’s Purported Stroke
Falun Gong has once again been linked to spreading false information and being infiltrated by the Ministry of State Security. The claim that Chinese President Xi Jinping had a stroke is, at best, a baseless hope, and at worst, a blatant lie—a characteristic often seen in those who have imaginary all-powerful yet invisible friends (who often want you to kill people who have different invisible friends).
Based on available facts, the assertion that Xi Jinping had a stroke is an unconfirmed rumor rather than a proven fact. Here's a breakdown of the situation:
1. The Rumor's Origins and Spread:
- The rumor started on Chinese social media and was heavily promoted by Jennifer Zeng, a human rights advocate tied to The Epoch Times, one of Falun Gong’s organizations. Falun Gong is cultish, attributing to its leader magical healing powers and expecting its members to dedicate significant time, labor, and money to building Falun Gong.
- The disinformation gained more traction on Russian social media platforms and was reported by some Russian news outlets. We can expect Falun Gong would cooperate with anyone against the CCP.
2. Lack of Official Confirmation:
- Neither Chinese nor Russian authorities have issued official statements confirming Xi Jinping's health issues.
- As of July 18, 2024, there are no credible reports verifying Xi's stroke.
3. Context and Doubt:
- Rumors about Xi Jinping's health are not new and often resurface during significant political events.
- Similar unverified health rumors have targeted other world leaders, like Vladimir Putin, and often turned out to be false.
4. Factors Contributing to the Rumor:
- The rumor coincided with the Chinese Communist Party's Third Plenary Session, a critical event that draws significant attention.
- Reports of a communication blackout during this session likely fueled speculation.
5. Expert Views:
- Political analysts have speculated on the implications if the rumor were true, but these remain speculative and lack evidence.
Approach unverified claims with caution. While the rumor has attracted attention, there is no solid evidence to support the claim that Xi Jinping had a stroke. Like many health rumors about world leaders, this one appears to be more speculation than fact: it’s clickbait at best, disinformation at worst.
Sources:
https://www.newsweek.com/unfounded-xi-jinping-stroke-rumor-fanned-russian-media-1927416
https://www.forexlive.com/news/there-are-unconfirmed-rumours-that-chinese-president-xi-jinping-had-a-stroke-20240717/
https://markcamilleri.org/2024/07/17/unconfirmed-reports-that-xi-jinpings-health-is-in-bad-condition-as-the-ccps-third-plenary-session-is-underway/
https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/
https://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/threads/debunked-or-unverified-unconfirmed-rumours-that-chinese-president-xi-jinping-had-a-stroke.7048282/
More free previews
Word of the Day: HEALTH
Here is the translation of the noun "health" (*santé* in French is feminine):
- English: health (n)
- French: santé (f)
- Spanish: salud (f)
- German: Gesundheit (f)
- Estonian: tervises
- Russian: здоровье (n) [zdorov'ye] (n)
- Ukrainian: здоров'я (n) [zdorov'ya] (n)
- Mandarin Chinese: 健康 (jiànkāng)
Sample sentence: "Good health is very important to me."
- French: "Ma santé est très importante pour moi."
- Spanish: "Mi salud es muy importante para mí."
- German: "Meine Gesundheit ist mir sehr wichtig."
- Estonian: "Minu tervises on minule väga oluline."
- Russian: "Мое здоровье очень важно для меня." [Moeye zdorov'ye ochen vazhno dlya menya.]
- Ukrainian: "Моє здоров'я дуже важливе для мене." [Moє zdorov'ya duzhe vazhlyvo dlya mene.]
- Mandarin Chinese: 我的健康对我来说非常重要。 (Wǒ de jiànkāng duì wǒ láishuō fēicháng zhòngyào.)
The final line: Take care of your health and it will take care of you.
- French: Prends soin de ta santé et elle prendra soin de toi.
- Spanish: Cuida tu salud y ella cuidará de ti.
- German: Achte auf deine Gesundheit und sie wird auf dich achten.
- Estonian: Hoia oma tervist ja see hoiab sind.
- Russian: Берегите здоровье, и оно будет беречь вас. [Beregitе zdorove, i ono budet berech' vas]
Free eBooks This week!
https://www.amazon.com/Pictogram-Palace-Character-Dictionary-Characters/dp/1090129823
https://www.amazon.com/Quizmaster-Point-Law-Contracts-Digital-ebook/dp/B0943TNQPT
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I see the Dems and left and media rallying to her to defeat Trump. Think of the narrative.