Moscow Burns, Volgograd Burns, Astrakhan Burns. ไน๐๐
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Moscow elite highrise โRed Sailsโ go boom. Lots of dead and wounded. #ygwyfd
โRed Sailsโ was also the name of a famous t.v. series in the USSR. Yes, it was โterorrismโ. Not everyone gets tossed out a window, this is how the Moscow elite roll.
Astrakhan and Volgograd oil refineries burning because of Ukrainian drone attacks
Decarbonizing Russia. ไน
Engels is Burning again get used to it.
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No, you are not getting a truce. We donโt compromise negotiate or surrender when confronted with murdering rapists. We kill them or die trying.
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Reciprocal Trade Is All You Need
Abstract: Decoupling from China seems like a simple solution to the complex challenges posed by the US-China relationship. However, it is simplistic, not simple. Decoupling is a fundamentally flawed and unrealistic strategy that ignores the deep interdependence of the two economies and the facts of global trade. Instead, bilateralism, proportional countermeasures, alongside diplomatic engagement, multilateral cooperation, and sector-specific agreements is necessary to compel China to abandon unfair trade practices while promoting international prosperity and consequent stability.
The US-China relationship is complex and deeply intertwined, with significant economic interdependence. In 2022, U.S. goods and services trade with China totaled an estimated $758.4 billion, with exports at $195.5 billion and imports at $562.9 billion[4]. China remains the United States' third-largest trading partner after Mexico and Canada, and is the primary supplier of imports to the U.S.[9]
Decoupling would be challenging and costly. Estimates suggest that decoupling could cost the American aviation industry up to $875 billion by 2038, the semiconductor industry up to $159 billion and 100,000 jobs, and the medical services industry more than $479 billion over the next decade[1]. A complete decoupling could result in a loss of up to 1.6% of global GDP, with the U.S. losing up to 1.1% of its GDP and China losing up to 2.5% of its GDP.
However, some decoupling is already occurring. U.S. exports to China have remained largely flat, while China's exports to the United States fell by more than 20 percent in the first 11 months of 2023 compared to 2022[3]. The American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai reported in September 2023 that 40 percent of its member firms were seeking to redirect investment originally slated for China to other countries[3].
A more nuanced approach is being pursued. The U.S. has implemented targeted measures such as export controls on certain technologies[9]. Diplomatic engagement continues, with high-level meetings between U.S. and Chinese officials, although these are limited in scope and frequency[3].
Multilateral cooperation remains important, with both countries supporting distinct economic and security arrangements. The U.S. underpins NATO, the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, and the G7, while China backs the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the BRICS bloc, and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership[3].
In conclusion, while complete decoupling is unlikely and potentially harmful, a gradual shift in the relationship is occurring. The U.S. is pursuing a strategy of "strategic competition" with China[6], balancing economic interests with national security concerns. This approach involves targeted measures, continued diplomatic engagement, and multilateral cooperation, aligning with the suggested more nuanced strategy.
Citations:
[1] https://publicpolicy.psu.edu/faculty-and-research/policy-perspectives/u-s-china-relations-short-and-long-term-implications-for-the-global-economy/
[2] https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/country-papers/3268-2022-statistical-analysis-of-u-s-trade-with-china/file
[3] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/is-the-us-china-relationship-the-most-consequential-relationship-for-america-in-the-world/
[4] https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china
[5] https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/contentious-us-china-trade-relationship
[6] https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-china/
[7] https://www.statista.com/topics/4698/sino-us-trading-relationship/
[8] https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2023/five-years-trade-war-china-continues-its-slow-decoupling-us-exports
[9] https://www.csis.org/blogs/perspectives-innovation/us-china-relationship-amid-chinas-economic-woes
[10] https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11284
[11] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-new-normal-in-us-china-relations-hardening-competition-and-deep-interdependence/
[12] https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/us-china-relations-for-the-2030s-toward-a-realistic-scenario-for-coexistence?lang=en
See also:
1. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2020/05/28/the-us-china-trade-war-a-timeline/
2. https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china
3. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/us-china-relations
4. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-06-16/how-america-can-shape-global-order
5. https://www.csis.org/analysis/us-china-trade-relations-and-future-economic-relationship
6. https://www.piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/us-china-trade-war-and-future-global-trade-order
Word of the Day: Decoupling
"Decoupling" sample sentence "China and the USA are not going to decouple."
Translations:
French: Dรฉcouplage (deh-koo-plahzh)
Spanish: Desacoplamiento (deh-sah-koh-plah-mee-en-toh)
German: Entkopplung (ent-koh-ploo-ng)
Estonian: Lahutus (lah-hoo-toos)
Ukrainian: ะัะดัะตะฟะปะตะฝะฝั (vid-cheh-plen-nya) - transliteration: Vidcheplyenne
Russian: ะะตะบัะฟะปะธะฝะณ (deh-koo-pleeng) - transliteration: Dekupling
Chinese: (jiวn tuล) - transliteration: jiวn tuล
Sample sentence translations:
French: "La Chine et les รtats-Unis ne vont pas se dรฉcoupler." (lah sheen ay leh eh-tah zee-nee vay pah seh deh-koo-play)
Spanish: "China y Estados Unidos no van a desacoplarse." (chee-nah ee eh-stah-dohs oo-nee-dohs noh vahn ah deh-sah-koh-plahr-seh)
German: "China und die USA werden sich nicht entkoppeln." (chee-nah oond dee eh-ess-ah vay-rn zeech nich ent-koh-peln)
Estonian: "Hiina ja Ameerika รhendriigid ei lahutu." (hee-nah yah ah-meh-ree-kah oo-hehnd-ree-gee-deh ay lah-hoo-too)
Ukrainian: "ะะธัะฐะน ั ะกะจะ ะฝะต ะฒัะดัะตะฟะปััััั." (kee-tay ee eh-ess-ah ay veh-deh-cheh-plen-nya) - transliteration: Kitay i SShA ne vidcheplyat'sya
Russian: "ะะธัะฐะน ะธ ะกะจะ ะฝะต ะดะตะบัะฟะปะธัััััั." (kee-tay ee eh-ess-ah ay neh deh-koo-plee-roo-yat-sya) - transliteration: Kitay i SShA ne dekupliruyutsya
Chinese: (zhลng guรณ hรฉ mฤi guรณ bรน huรฌ jiวn tuล) - transliteration: zhลng guรณ hรฉ mฤi guรณ bรน huรฌ jiวn tuล ไธญๅฝๅ็พๅฝไธไผๅ่ฑ
Note: The Chinese translation uses the phrase (jiวn tuล) which literally means "to disconnect" or "to separate", but in the context of economics and trade, it is often used to refer to the concept of decoupling.
https://nv.ua/world/countries/massirovannaya-ataka-dronov-na-rossiyu-v-noch-na-3-fevralya-podrobnosti-o-posledstviyah-i-video-50486651.html
https://t.me/astrapress/73714?single
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/46463
https://global.espreso.tv/russia-ukraine-war-ukrainian-forces-target-9-oil-facilities-in-russia-in-january
https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/02/02/bloomberg-for-the-first-time-russias-fuel-output-in-doubt-as-ukrainian-drones-hit-three-key-refineries/
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/46463
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