Remembering the future
观音菩萨是圣母玛利亚 A New Order of the Ages
A limited representative secular democratic government featuring legally enforceable rights of the governed against the government and specialization of various powers to prevent a concentration of powers to prevent restoration of absolute monarchy or any other form of unlimited personal government. When the USA first appeared on the world stage it was the first and only such government on earth. Since then, the idea of limited secular representative government with legally enforceable rights of the governed against the government took the world by storm because it is a more effective form of government than unlimited personal governments such as absolutist monarchies or dictatorships. Most states are still organized as an extension, broadly speaking of the family, though some, notably the United States may be better compared to a kind of business with entirely unrelated persons bound together by common values and beliefs. This is why the USA can and will be a magnet for immigrants. We love the Chinese. Send more please!
By the way, everything already has happened and will recur. Try to get good at mentally putting your brain into other peoples position. Start with contemporaries, then the past, then the future. I believe we make contact with the aliens in about 250 years, sorry to say. I would love to be wrong!
Civil Wars
Any civil war tends to be even bloodier than revolutionary or regular warfare.
Ours is the side that hates slavery.
Ours is the side that ends wars.
王朝至此玩:帝王休 what i mean is Europe and China/East Asia are to a certain extent experiencing parallels which they may be unaware of that you (and I!) can use to steer them. Try to find parallels and commonalities but also to put yourself in their position. We are not “all basically the same”. We do however have similarities. These may be the basis for cooperation OR conflict! Two people that don’t talk or cant talk are not in conflict. And some interstellar civilizations don’t wish to be reached in the material plane because then they might get enslaved/eaten/exterminated. i don’t think that’s most civilizations but it does happen.
It is the mutual experience and unique quality of the U.S. Federal Government and the PRCs CCP to claim legitimacy as having definitively ended civil war and slavery. This is one of their common values and why they are doomed to trade and invest to cooperate more than they compete, and to compete constructively rather than destructively.
TAIWAN
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is unrealistic, probably unattainable. Chinese policies in the South China Sea are driven more by Chinas petroleum dependence rather than fishing rights though that is in there too and of course the idea of having lots of unsinkable carriers, though i don’t think that last one will work out for them. Anyway, the 9 dash line means China alienates all her littoral neighbors and in consequence it will be terribly easy to build a coalition against China, and China will of course moan mightily. Most of their foreign policy posturing is directed to the domestic audience: rally national unity, give the PLA-PLAN useful tasks, explore the possibilities of military competition, but China really cannot compete even against the USA alone, Maybe China could win a war against Japan alone? Maybe not! Anyway, both the USA and China will have opportunities to generate a local proxy war out of all of China’s maritime disputes with a half dozen different countries —but neither will. Its a fairly stupid dynamic, easily described, predicted, and can be rationally directed in consequence especially because the USA has strategic dominance in East Asia, in part because China has made many neighboring opponents.
RUSSIA
IRAN
ISRAEL
CHINA
RELIGION
Sinicization of Christianity
LEARN CHINESE