Reverse Engineering the Global War on Terror.

Putin nearly got killed again. ) Keep trying.

Eric Engle

Mar 31, 2025

Ukraine hit Kaluga airfield last night. I don’t think a “truce” is gonna hold, duh.

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Ukrainian drones hit Kaluga Airfield last night. Don’t expect a ceasefire.

1) Trump will try to impose peace on Ukraine

2) Trump will fail in his efforts to impose peace on Ukraine

a) Because Putin wants to conquer all of Ukraine

b) And Ukraine wants to eject Russia from all of Ukraine

3) Consequently, Putin will stab Trump in the back.

4) And thus Trump will be forced to destroy Putin.

https://ura.news/news/1052910274

Калужская область! Взрывы: мощнейшая атака на регион

As the conflict in Ukraine enters its fourth year, President Trump is intensifying efforts to broker peace in the war-torn country. According to a recent report by the New York Times, Trump has been in frequent communication with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with the two leaders discussing potential frameworks for a ceasefire and peace negotiations (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/28/world/europe/trump-putin-ukraine-peace-talks.html). However, despite Trump's renewed push for diplomacy, significant obstacles remain in the path to a peaceful resolution.

The primary obstacle to a peaceful resolution is Putin's unwavering commitment to conquering all of Ukraine. As the Brookings Institution notes, Putin's ultimate goal is to bring Ukraine back into Russia's sphere of influence, and he is willing to use military force to achieve this end (https://www.brookings.edu/articles/putins-ukraine-policy-a-recipe-for-disaster/). Ukraine is resolute in its determination to eject Russia from its territory: "Ukraine will never surrender" - Zelenskiy. (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis/ukraine-will-never-surrender-zelenskiy-tells-russian-leader-idUSKBN2AP0R9). A recent poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology indicates 62% of Ukrainians support negotiations with Russia, though a majority still oppose significant territorial concessions (https://www.kiis.com.ua/?lang=eng&cat=reports&id=1134&page=1). While Putin has shown some flexibility in recent months, he continues to insist on territorial concessions that Ukraine finds unacceptable. As noted by Foreign Policy magazine: Putin's goals still include maintaining a sphere of influence over parts of Ukraine. (https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/15/putins-evolving-strategy-in-ukraine/).

Given the entrenched positions of both Russia and Ukraine, it is likely that Putin will ultimately betray Trump's trust and continue to pursue his aggressive agenda. As noted by the Council on Foreign Relations, Putin has a history of using diplomatic negotiations as a smokescreen for his military ambitions. It is unlikely that he will change his tactics now (https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/putins-ukraine-strategy). When Putin inevitably stabs Trump in the back, President Trump will be forced to acquiesce to Russia's conquests or take decisive action to avoid being humiliated by Putin.

In the event that Trump chooses to stand firm against Russian agressions, he will be forced to take drastic measures to counter Putin's moves. Trump has threatened to impose hefty tariffs on Russian oil exports if Putin fails to engage constructively in peace talks (https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-threatens-tariffs-on-russian-oil-amid-ukraine-peace-push-11711638400). As noted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the US has a range of military options at its disposal, including economic sanctions, military aid to Ukraine, and even direct military intervention (https://www.csis.org/analysis/us-options-ukraine). Ultimately, the consequences of Putin's betrayal will be severe, and Trump will be left with no choice but to destroy Putin's regime in order to protect US interests and maintain global stability. As argued by the National Interest, the US cannot afford to allow Russia to continue its aggressive expansion, and Trump will be forced to take bold action to check Putin's ambitions (https://nationalinterest.org/feature/us-cannot-allow-russia-win-ukraine-19717).

Successful negotiations will hinge on finding creative solutions that address core security concerns while allowing all parties to claim some measure of victory (https://carnegieendowment.org/2025/03/20/path-to-peace-in-ukraine-balancing-act-pub-89012 ). That seems entirely unlikely given past statements and actions. This leads to the logical if inconvenient or unpleasant conclusion: Trump will try to impose peace, fail, Putin will stab Trump in the back, and then they will have a falling out.

Blame substacks stupid editing software for being unable to automatically recognize hyperlinks. It’s not incompetence or a mistake: This is how they keep you on substack instead of other sites.

Putin nearly got killed again: https://www.vedomosti.ru/society/galleries/2025/03/29/1100435-vzrivi-na-stantsiyah#140737497651100