Strategic Overview: Revolutions in "Russia" and Iran.
Which parties and pre-parties are forming up in countries soon to be liberated?
“革命不是请客吃饭,不是做文章,不是绘画绣花,不能那样雅致,那样从容不迫,文质彬彬,那样温良恭俭让。革命是暴动,是一个阶级推翻一个阶级的暴烈的行动” 毛主席
It's not a fucking dinner party. It's actions of deadly violence.
Chinese Stock market at an all time low, U.S. stock market at all time high, Evergrand going bankrupt and stupid thug me only cares about war and peace.
Let's go.
Iran: Encirclements, Defeats, & Revolution.
Iran will be encircled by the proxy wars it started, set upon by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Israel, the United States, the United Kingdom, likely Canada and Australia too, as the noose tightens more countries, like hyenas, will descend on the crazy state terrorist theocracy. The Mullahs will be shocked when China throws them under the bus. Some Party Members remember and others are well aware of eX_Xactly what the crazy theocrat nutjobs did to the Maoists in Iran. Likely Iraq will get in on the action and Türkiye too. It will end with the "you're religious whether you like it or not" government by cranes-and-ropes being first destabilized and then overthrown by the Iranian people themselves with a big assist from countries other than the "Russian" Federation.
The regimes in Moscow and Tehran, ONLY, are to be removed, and will NOT be transformed into ... Sweden. I have no doubt this will happen, though it may take months or years. So long as the party state is guarantied oil (Shades of 1941...) it will be only to happy to spend nought one RMB or PLA/PLAN life to attain greater prosperity for the Chinese people and thus the stabilization of the CCP. It is a very small price to pay and far better than the alternatives.
Ferguson is wrong: China is not the arsenal of autocracy. Surprisingly, China and America both love money more than they fear each other. The rulers in Moscow and Teheran are both in Anglo-American gunsights. Beijing is not and shall not be.
I did warn, that if Iran does not get along with Great Satan it may have to deal with Little Satan and that Little Satan might just might not be so merciful... Christianity has the notion of forgiveness as a central tenet of faith. Unlike Judaism or Islam for that matter. Good luck! YGWYFD. https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-784150
I have already predicted: After Israel finishes warring in Gaza against Hamas it will then attack Hezbollah.
Red-sea-houthi-attacks-shipping-inflation
China will not interfere with the wars against Iranian sponsored terrorists because
1. they threaten Chinese commerce
2. they ultimately threaten China itself in Xinjiang.
3. they are thus a dual threat to the Chinese Communist Party and the Chinese people.
October 7, the day Hamas attacked Israel and massacred Israelis, is also Putin's birthday.
Draw your own conclusions. https://www.republicworld.com/world-news/us/nancy-pelosi-under-fire-for-claim-russia-behind-palestine-protests-ceasefire-mr-putins-message/
Serbia: "What if they gave a war but nobody went?"
Basically Putin wants to start a war, literally anywhere, to distract from his war in Ukraine and divide people and people's who oppose Putin's latest smash-and-grab rape-festival. Putin most likely figures he can sucker the stupid Serbian slavs into being his next gang of useful idiots. It is very likely Serbia and even likelier Serbians will not fall for it. It isn't 1990. Many people can easily access information. Everyone sees the nightmare Putin created in Ukraine. No one wants that.
All 71 year old frail Putin's foolish war-mongering will fail. The wars Putin unleashed will will even backfire and wind up uniting literally the entire planet against serial war criminal Vladimir "I'm totally Peter the Greta and not at all Adolph Hitler" Putin.
China will be only too happy to benefit from the destruction of the modern Xiongnu in Moscow, the northern barbarians:
First from cheap hydrocarbons
Second from the destruction of Russian military capacity
Third, from the restoration to Chinese rule to the parts of Russia that used to be China.
And finally from the greatly increased Chinese influence in Central Asia, Mongolia, North Korea, and the soon to be independent Republics currently occupied by the "Russian" Fakeration.
"Russia": Paralysis, Purges, and Putsch.
https://news.sky.com/video/russia-firefighters-battle-large-fire-at-plastics-plant-13059375
red-sea-houthi-attacks-shipping-inflation
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/28/us/politics/nancy-pelosi-fbi-russia-gaza-protesters.html
War with Russia is not coming, thanks to Ukraine Russia is unable to project power for about five years. Sure, if Russia wins in Ukraine it will rest, rearm, and try again: but that would require 5 to 10 years. By then Putin will likely be dead.
What is coming is a serious of proxy wars against Iran, which will culminate in another Iranian revolution right around the same time as sanctions, constant deep strikes, and grinding attrition alongside blood purges and targeted killing of the Russian leaders and commanders create conditions where the foreign countries still occupied by the "Russian" federation like Bashkortostan can, and will, rebel against Moscow and seek independence. It is in precisely this way that Russia will lose and collapse.
Just like China isn't gonna invade Taiwan (they see what happened to Putin in Ukrain, it wasn't 72 hours or even 6 weeks) Russia isn't going to invade the Baltics or Poland. But for different reasons. The different reasons are: Russia's military has already been terribly degraded. Aside from a few thousand tanks and BMPs destroyed Russia's elite paratroopers, he VVD are basically ALL Dead! Russia's weaknesses exposed and most importantly because the Anglo-Americans, the Francophones, and the Germanophones are all going to give Ukraine the munitions and arms and intelligence it needs to win the war, as above described. China knows Russia is finished and is figuring out how to benefit from the destruction of the "Russian" Federation. 我可以帮忙把?我有建议哟!
Ukraine
Reminder: What's Next for Ukraine? Oh, not much, just deep strikes inside Russia targeting petroleum infrastructure, strikes at sea against Russian cargoes, destabilization of the "Russian" federation by fomenting rebellion among the score of countries still occupied by Russia, targeted killing of Russian leadership, and Ukraine clawing back its airspace to gain local and then national air superiority culminating in the complete destruction of the RuSSian officer corpse, the Russian air force, and the Russian navy. Russia's best outcome is to survive as a demilitarized empire but you can bet, me and mine, a coalition, will in fact dismantle the "Russian" Federation because, duh, an empire of lies, murder, and rape is a threat to every other State on earth. So yeah, it takes but little to convince many, Many State AND Non-State Actors to hit the Russians again and again, harder and harder until the criminal haven which IS Russia collapses into blood and chaos -- to the profit of China! This is how fucked Putin really is.
China: Economic Engagement, Military Containment
I have been successfully advocating a bifurcated China policy. Rather than "decoupling" or even "de-risking" the USA and NATO Member States should continue to economically engage with China through cross-border trade and investment. Although I do regard China as a mercantilist state capitalist dictatorship (market socialism), China is seeking both in theory and practice to attain greater democratic legitimation and improved well-being for the peoples in China, not only the Han Chinese. China's desire for peace and prosperity and its restraint in war-making explain why a policy of economic engagement is the correct policy. Military containment is a necessary, inevitable corrolary: economic carrots for China to comply, and military deterrence to help China restrain ultra-nationalists and adventurist Chinese extremists. China and NATO will deter each other from war precisely so they stay at peace and consequently enjoy prosperity. Peace through prosperity was and is the formula that Deng Xiaoping, influenced by Singapore, took up because "socialism cannot be poverty".
https://www.city-journal.org/article/new-documents-bolster-lab-leak
China will Not Invade Taiwan. Here’s Why.
Why China Will Not Invade Taiwan:
China Will Not Invade Taiwan because Beijing knows invading Taiwan would be an undertaking at least as large as D-Day, 6/6/1944. Beijing does have the sealift and airlift to launch such an invasion. Well, unopposed anyway. Beijing does half dozen or so helicopter assault ships, three carriers and "repurposed cruise liners" -- with exactly zero experience in combat let alone in launching and fighting and winning an opposed beach landing. None. In fact, Beijing hasn't fought a foreign war since ...1979. It's almost as if they mean it when they say they want peace!
China Will Not Invade Taiwan because Beijing (Xi) is almost surely aware of the fate of a certain Argentinian dictators named Galtieri, who invaded a few barely defended Islands called the Falklands. Galtieri was deposed as a result of his failed Falklands invasion. Chinese foreign policy is fundamentally "conservative" i.e. defensive, and historically China has been isolationist.
China isn't going to invade Taiwan because that would force the USA to defend Taiwan as the Taiwan Relations Act, binding U.S. legislation, requires. The USA got so powerful by being remarkably persistent at keeping its word. No faction in China is engaging in wishful thinking. The Chinese know perfectly well the USA and Taiwan would fight, and that an invasion of Taiwan would likely lead to the ouster of Xi Jinping and maybe even the CCP and that it would Yet Another Chinese civil war.
China Will Not Invade Taiwan because the people living on Taiwan are ... you guessed it, they are Chinese too! Is the USA going to invade Canada? Nope, not even the Frenchy bits! Is the UK going to invade Canada? Also no! Likewise, China is not going to invade Taiwan. Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan's very existence is not a threat to an insane kleptocratic gang of thug murderers who hate law,democracy, and fear freedom for their slaves. But China did notice that Vladikiller Putschin's little 72 hour military "special" operation, complete with shortbus scoobydoo van... failed. Catastrophically. Why risk That?!?
China Will Not Invade Taiwan because Taiwan currently serve as a trade, investment, and cultural link from the mainland to the big bad evil nasty USA, you know, the world's fourth largest Chinese country by population. There are literally millions of personal ties as well as trade and investment ties which explain why China is not going to commit economic or political suicide, much as provocateurs might wish.
Finally, China (Xi) has, committed to peaceful reunification, only. We should take them at their word for the above mentioned reasons even as we prepare to defend Taiwan to deter the invasion which will never happen. Deterrence backstops diplomacy and is the foundation for peace through prosperity and mutual dependence.
I used not one word of party ideology, Marxist terminology, and my views are nonetheless well aware of actual Chinese ideology as opposed to the usual warmed over "USSR" bullshit slipshod analysts will tend to offer because by golly they both be gawdless commies. The real danger about China is that it is not the USSR, a country of drunks, led by liars, populated by thieves, pursuing a batshit crazy economic theory in pursuit of warmed over Robbespierre and Boyars. Warmed over cold warriors need to do a lot of reading to make the leap from dysfunctional drunk corrupt crazy warlike "Russia" to Beijing.
In sum, the USA will fight a few more wars, get weaker, then stronger, and China will do nothing but profit all along the way. Arsenal of autocracy my ass, China is more like a nation of shopkeepers.
A very, very, large nation of shopkeepers.
Myanmar / Burma
As I stated in an earlier post: I expect China will impose and restore peace and order in Myanmar. I also expect the USA to do nothing to interfere with that. This is because China fundamentally seeks economic development, prosperity, and peace. Note also that since Myanmar (Vietnam too) has oil this will offset the lost petroleum from Russia ensuring the Chinese leadership that the USA is not seeking to oust the CCP let alone start another Chinese civil war. That prediction appears to be confirmed in the following video.
Military Containment of China to Deter Destructive Wars
International relations, like human relations generally, are driven by "carrots" and "sticks", by reward for desired actions and punishments for undesired ones.
If you shit on all your neighbors’ heads then you shouldn't be surprised when they band together into defensive alliances.
The Path to Peace: No Destabilization, Just Anti-Terrorist Cooperation!
Although it is true that a destabilization policy would seek to split China along ethnic lines, fomenting rebellions in Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong, Inner Mongolia, as well as encouraging radical ideologues of all varieties the USA is not and ought not seek to destabilize China. This is because the alternatives to the governance by the current CCP would be even worse. A "successful" policy of destabilization would create independent countries in all the above mentioned regions. The problem is, that would entail terrorism, rebellions, and yet another Chinese civil war or even civil wars.
Instead of seeking destabilization, the USA could, and should, seek to cooperate and acomodate with the CCP in our common struggle against violent extremists, whether Islamist or fascist. The fact is China and the USA trade and invest in each other to a great extent, and the USA has the worlds fourth largest Chinese population, which will likely keep growing. The other Anglophone countries also have proportionally large ethnic Chinese, who generally are peaceful, productive, and are often consequently wealthy.
I expect greater Anglo-Chinese cooperation against terrorism and extremism in the face of the religiously fueled violence in the Middle East and Russian neo-fascism. I already have stated that I expect China to benefit from the dissolution of the "Russian" Federation.
The speaker is perhaps correct to criticize the USA, but then needs also to propose a better way forward into the future of common global prosperity.
Vive La France!
http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgyw/202401/t20240126_11234040.htm
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202401/1306204.shtml
Franco-Chinese diplomatic relations appear to be markedly improving.
France has long been a global power: nuclear rockets, nuclear submarines, lots of bases world-wide, effective diplomatic service. Only the U.S., U.K. and France are capable of long range sustained power projection. I don't expect the Chinese government to be able to break out of containment by AUKUS, and expect AUKUS to grow to include the other old dominions, and India as well. However, I do expect France to use its good relations with China to improve its trading position and independence with respect to the Anglo-Americans. Of course, Macron very likely dreams of a European superpower, led by France, just as Scholze almost certainly has a similar view, only led by Germany. I expect the German economic engine and French diplomatic-military arms to lead Europe into politics and policies that complement and strengthen NATO rather than subvert or destroy it. Europeans very likely have no appetite for yet another "dark crusade in the East" against resurgent Russia. China very likely hopes to be able to use France to outmaneuver the Anglo-Americans militarily as well as diplomatically. I regard such hopes as ill-considered and badly founded. China can and will chafe under containment, but after it's little lab leak and consequent wrecked economy they should be thankful the rabid racist anti-China anti-CCP falun daffies are not getting the policies of economic penury and political destabilization to oust the CCP from power because the responsible people who actually study facts and war as opposed to religious daydreams know only too well: ousting the CCP would require and/or result in yet another Chinese civil war with millions, likely tens of millions, but probably not hundreds of millions of dead. Sorry, we're not going to kill lots of people for religious bullshit.
Languages: Learn Japanese
Only China knows for sure if "she" was really working for China...
Since each hanzi/kanji character is a word one could use hiragana as a code.
Hiragana Kanji あ 安 い 以 う 宇 え 衣 お 於 か 加 き 幾 く 久 け 計 こ 己 さ 左 し 之 す 寸 せ 世 そ 曽 た 多 ち 知 つ 州 て 天 と 止 な 奈 に 仁 ぬ 奴 ね 祢 の 乃 は 波 ひ 比 ふ 不 へ 部 ほ 保 ま 末 み 三 む 武 め 女 も 毛 や 也 ゆ 由 よ 与 ら 良 り 利 る 留 れ 礼 ろ 吕 わ 和 を 遠 ん 无
Japanese for diplomats: about Mother…
RELIGION
All states arose justifying their political power by analogies to the family and religion. The fact of state power was justified by ideologies of family and religion. However, as religious, wars killed millions in Crusades, Witch Hunts, Jihads, state power increasingly became liberal and came to regard religion as a "private" rather than "public" i.e. State institution. This is why we see secular states such as the USA and France as well as a-theist states such as China: to avoid the crazy destructive religious total wars such as the Taiping rebellion and the 30 years war. China thus permits religious expressions which do not threaten state power and seeks the Sincization of religions. I have argued for the Sinicization of Christianity through Christianity taking up various Buddhist ideas. Some of these ideas will help you cope with your life in a more effective way, I think.
The self
What is "you"? Are you your foot? If you like many Ukrainians have lost a leg, do you still exist? What about your beliefs? Are they set in stone", and never change? Or do your ideas change? Well, what about your perceptions? Is what you perceive complete and perfect, or only partial? Is what you perceive changeable or unchanging? What about your memories? Are they permanent? Do they exist? Can you forget things, or is your memory permanent?
If "you" are not your foot or parts of your body, if "you" exist though parts of your body change; if "you" exist despite your imperfect perceptions, your changing beliefs, your failing or flawed memory, then what is left of "you"? Or, more exactly, what is it that separates "you" from "everything else"? In fact, nothing. You are part of everything, and everything is part of you. This is what is meant, I think, by the Buddhist idea that the "self" isn't "real" i.e. that our self concept is always partial, limited, inaccurate, and really is only part of something much greater, namely: everything else.
This is related to the Buddhist idea that suffering results from attachment to illusions which result from inaccurate self-perceptions. So people latch onto the desire for riches, to make up for their feelings of insignificance or even worthlessness. They identify their "self" with their race, their nation, to try to get around that fact that at least on this planet their bodies break down and die. The search for religious truth is also a search for permanence, eternal existence, release from suffering, attainment of bliss. So for example Putin is probably attached to the ideas of becoming famous and powerful and attached the idea of being the the hero, a hero who avenges Russia, in his own thinking. And this is how he ends this incarnation: he will live out his attachment, and die from it. His story arc really is coming to its End.
The Buddhist Version of the Ten Commandments
佛说十善业道经(The Sutra of the Ten Good Deeds)是佛教经典之一,是佛陀根据他的教义向信徒讲述善行的重要性以及实践善行的方法。
这部经典主要阐述了十个善行和其所带来的利益和功德。这十个善行包括:
1. 不杀生:不伤害其他生命,尊重和保护一切有生命的众生。
2. 不偷盗:不窃取他人财物,保持诚实和守信。
3. 不邪淫:遵守婚姻法规,保持纯洁的身心。
4. 不妄语:不撒谎、不诽谤、不造谣,说实话和善言。
5. 不恶口:不说伤人的话,保持友善和尊重。
6. 不饮酒:不沉溺于酒精和迷魂药物,保持清醒和自律。
7. 不嗔恚:控制愤怒和暴力的情绪,培养耐心和包容心。
8. 不痴狂:远离贪婪和贪心,保持智慧和意识的清明。
9. 不谤讟:不诽谤他人,不散播流言蜚语。
10. 不妄增益:不趁人之危,不利用他人的困境谋取私利。
佛陀在经文中解释了这些善行对修行者和他人的好处,并强调了修行善行的重要性。这些善行不仅有益于个人的精神成长,还有助于创造和谐的社会关系,减少众生的痛苦与恶果。
佛教教义认为通过实践善行,修行者可以积累福德和功德,提高心灵的纯净度,减少烦恼与痛苦,最终达到超脱和解脱的境界。
The Sutra of the Ten Good Deeds is one of the Buddhist classics. In this sutra, the Buddha explains to his followers the importance of performing good deeds and provides guidance on how to practice them.
This scripture primarily elaborates on ten good deeds and the benefits and merits they bring. These ten good deeds include:
1. Not killing: Avoid harming other living beings and respect and protect all sentient beings.
2. Not stealing: Do not take others' belongings and maintain honesty and trustworthiness.
3. Not engaging in sexual misconduct: Adhere to the rules of marriage and maintain purity in body and mind.
4. Not lying: Refrain from lying, slandering, and spreading rumors. Speak the truth and use kind words.
5. Not using harsh speech: Avoid saying hurtful words and maintain friendliness and respect.
6. Not consuming alcohol: Do not indulge in alcohol and intoxicants. Stay clear-minded and disciplined.
7. Not being angry or hateful: Control anger and violent emotions, cultivate patience and tolerance.
8. Not being ignorant: Stay away from greed and desire, maintain wisdom and clear consciousness.
9. Not slandering: Do not spread malicious gossip and slander others.
10. Not engaging in wrongful livelihood: Do not take advantage of others' misfortunes for personal gain.
In the scriptures, the Buddha explains the benefits of practicing these good deeds for both the practitioner and others, emphasizing the importance of cultivating virtuous conduct. These good deeds not only benefit personal spiritual growth but also contribute to creating harmonious social relationships and reducing the suffering and negative consequences of sentient beings.
Note: Unlike the Judeo-Christian ten commandments the Buddhist Sutra tells us what good consequences happen to us if we comply with the commandments and also tells us what bad things result if we do not. That is, the Buddhist version is better, because it makes clear the positive and negative consequences of our actions. Everything is causal. People are much likelier to do things we would like them to do if we tell them why, especially if they are given a choice. People prefer having choices, and we also prefer choosing to do good and rightful things.
According to Buddhist teachings, through practicing good deeds, practitioners can accumulate blessings and merits, elevate the purity of the mind, reduce afflictions and suffering, and ultimately attain liberation and enlightenment.